The interval between the decay of the old and the formation and establishment of the new constitutes a period of transition which must always necessarily be one of uncertainty, confusion, error, and wild and fierce fanaticism.
I've done the calculation and your chances of winning the lottery are identical whether you play or not.
If you don't accept failure as a possibility, you don't set high goals, you don't branch out, you don't try - you don't take the risk.