The future will be determined in part by happenings that it is impossible to foresee; it will also be influenced by trends that are now existent and observable.
I might do 'X Factor' next year. It's looking good that I won't get the sack at Christmas.
I not only hope that YouTube channels compete with television shows for viewers and revenue, I hope they develop a bitter rivalry which could only be settled by an elaborate medieval tournament where the two entities fight to the death in a steel cage.