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There are domains in which expertise is not possible. Stock picking is a good example. And in long-term political strategic forecasting, it's been shown that experts are just not better than a dice-throwing monkey.

Daniel Kahneman

Daniel Kahneman Biography

  Nationality: Israeli
Type: Psychologist

Born: March 5, 1934
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“Let no man imagine that he has no influence. Whoever he may be, and wherever he may be placed, the man who thinks becomes a light and a power.”

 

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